Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.
Special thanks to Skillshare for sponsoring this episode!
The first 1000 Theorists get a FREE trial of Skillshare Premium ►
There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of ISdowns centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
SUBSCRIBE to Catch all the Theories! ►
Find the game here ►
Need Royalty Free Music for your Content? Try Epidemic Sound.
Get A 30 Day Free Trial! ►
#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
FNAF, The FINAL Timeline ►►
FNAF, The Monster We MISSED! ►►
FNAF This Theory Changes Everything ►
FNAF, You Were Meant To Lose ►
FNAF 6, No More Secrets ►
Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

  • Squid King
    Squid King

    "Did Dream cheat" Matpat: WE GET THERE WHEN WE GET THERE

  • WizardCrafterz

    "...taking the world most relaxing game😃....and turning it into a war zone😮..."

  • Lyrical L
    Lyrical L

    Flipping a coin 10 times 7+ head

  • 100_minutes

    "Did he cheat, Mat?" *"IM A CREEPER, MINECRAFT GRIM REAPER"*

  • Legendary Comments
    Legendary Comments

    I have to say matpat is smart

  • reapeye 1
    reapeye 1

    ok so i know matpat didnt give any real answer but technically all he is really saying is that well.... he doesnt know the answer because its all luck. he was most likely pushed to make a video about this and when he knew that he couldnt have a definitive answer he just pushed it aside and tbh he right because its all about luck by the end of the day so it could go either way. in my opinion dream didnt cheat but if he did well thats on him. if anyone sees this either like if you agree orrrrrr like and then bombared me with comments calling me a dream stan lmao

  • Knight Artorias
    Knight Artorias

    If you want to hear the gospel, press read more..... Jesus died for our sins, he suffered and did nothing wrong. A crown of thorns was dug into his skull, was whipped 39 times, then was forced to carry a giant wooden cross up a hill. Then finally, was crucified and suffered the full wrath if God, he rose once more three days later. Believe this, and you will inherit eternal life.

  • 6-1 Тамир.Т
    6-1 Тамир.Т

    dreams real

  • Margie Bruner
    Margie Bruner

    Wait bruh waittt hold up on one of these things he showed us one of them was not dreams it was one of drem he is a fake speed runner he posted one of his clips on her so that must not be dream clips wall at most of one is of dream in the drem

  • Carmaster the shooter master
    Carmaster the shooter master

    IM b ON 8:28

  • REASONS Apologetics
    REASONS Apologetics

    The second one

  • Beans

    GeoSquare and Dream: *fighting about a videogame* Commentary channels: He cheated Stans: He didn't! MatPat: But why?

  • Isabelle Nanney
    Isabelle Nanney

    I think... it's a no? He proves that Dream's arguments are more logical than the Minecraft speedrunning team's so I assume that he doesn't think Dream cheated :/

    • morbideddie

      Correction, he asserts Dreams arguments are credible, then avoids the question. Dream cheated, it’s not really in contention by anyone who understands probability.

  • Marceline Kibukila
    Marceline Kibukila


  • Joe Enderman
    Joe Enderman

    I know that sometimes it is hard to pick a side on an issue because you don't want to offend anyone, but if the issue is a "right and wrong" issue rather than "right and left" you should be willing to condemn or justify the involved parties. If Dream is innocent, then why leave the slightest smudge on a good man's credibility? What did he do to offend you? If he cheated, then why skirt around the issue? No one likes a cheater, and even more so, they don't like people who support and allow cheating.

  • Madkrusher


  • Alpha

    I bet matpat can solve who dream is

  • Smart gamer 123
    Smart gamer 123

    100 coin flips

  • Aloke Schlichtmann
    Aloke Schlichtmann

    So did dream cheat or not

    • Noriaki Kakyoin
      Noriaki Kakyoin

      @dabudaby "Correction, he asserts Dreams arguments are credible, then avoids the question. Dream cheated, it’s not really in contention by anyone who understands probability." - morbideddie

    • dabudaby

      probably not because he proves that Dream's arguments are more logical than the Minecraft speedrunning team's

  • Chungus Toad
    Chungus Toad

    I personally don’t like dream but I don’t think he cheats

    • Chungus Toad
      Chungus Toad

      @Justin Emilio Belchez then I would most likely believe you

    • Justin Emilio Belchez
      Justin Emilio Belchez

      What if I tell you, he does?

  • sonia mckenzie
    sonia mckenzie

    im back i think if u flip a coin 10 times ur more likely to get heads 7 times

  • sonia mckenzie
    sonia mckenzie

    oh no i think u broke Robert lmao ok ill stop talking :(

  • Leeland DeLeeuw
    Leeland DeLeeuw

    I came here to read the comments from dreamm stans who ddn't watch the video but go mad anyway.

  • Ragul Karthik
    Ragul Karthik

    So no one gonna talk about me beast buying a pizza

  • Mehrunes

    True, game based on random generator world should never become a speedrun

    • morbideddie

      @Mehrunes while yes it can be an RNG fest that’s the same for pretty much most speed games. Golden eye and ocarina of time are two of the most famous speed games of all time and they are very heavily RNG dependent in some sections. Looking at the boards most of the top spots are filled by known runners who are skilled and respected. Give a god seed to a less skilled player and they won’t turn that into a wr. Plus there are loads of categories that focus on different aspects of the game. SSG let’s you practice the same map massively reducing the RNG elements. FSG gives you a god seed each time so you can get the on the fly thinking of a RSG but without the lottery aspect being as strong. There is something for everyone but I think the random world aspects are one of the more unique aspects of the game that make it less focused on execution and more on game knowledge and quick thinking.

    • Mehrunes

      ​@morbideddie this's just my personal opinion. You're absolutely right, MC still requires skills, reflex, and knowledge. But the Random generated world makes the run become an RNG fest. Unlucky seed can add 1-3 minutes to the run And every action also have its RNG the best-skilled player can be beaten by pure luck. And when you're too lucky, the run became suspicious That's the reason why MC not my favorite speedrun. But I do enjoy Speedrun VS Hunter

    • morbideddie

      Why? Speedrunning isn’t just about mechanical execution, routing the world on the fly requires tons of skill and game knowledge that’s completely valid.

  • Emperor Akatsuki
    Emperor Akatsuki

    10 times 6 heads =100 times 60 heads 100 times 70 heads = 10 times 7 heads the latter has more luck

    • Emperor Akatsuki
      Emperor Akatsuki

      ​@morbideddie Ooh O.O, so that's how it works, good to know(~ ̄▽ ̄)~

    • morbideddie

      The law of large numbers goes counter to this, the larger the set of trials the less likely we are to see significant changes from the average.

  • KK Puffin
    KK Puffin

    what red button? I only see a gray one.

  • usual1ty


  • OrdinaryBear

    Question : "Did Dream Cheat ?" Answer : "You know, luck is not cool"

  • Patricia Talosig
    Patricia Talosig

    dream dint fake i tryed all of his the tricks mlg water


      is this a joke?

    • Patricia Talosig
      Patricia Talosig

      and the haybale and ladder and boat clutch evrything 😒😒😒😒😒😒😤😤😤😤😤

  • The Game podcaster
    The Game podcaster


  • Prince Awesome
    Prince Awesome

    Flipping a coin 10 times and getting heads 7 of them I think

  • -Lemon Muffin-
    -Lemon Muffin-

    For the heads and tails thing I chose 7- Dunno if it's correct-

  • superbas gamingYT
    superbas gamingYT

    Idk matpat but make a theory on friday night funkin

  • Archana Gupta
    Archana Gupta

    flip 100 times is more likely

  • M0bZ0Mb!3

    It's sad to hear all these comments saying this is clickbait, it's like mattpatt isn't allowed to give you his ideas and talk about things that interest him and people just want the theory and conclusion.

  • BRUH bruh bruh BRUH bruh bruh
    BRUH bruh bruh BRUH bruh bruh

    69.2 percent nice

    • Dan 5
      Dan 5


  • C0C0N8T

    Its not his fault for cheating. Its the GAMES fault for involving too much RNG LMAOOOO


      It's Dream's fault because he didn't say anything about it. You wanna mod the game to have better rng, fine. But if you want to lie and pretend you didn't, that's a problem.

  • Royally Challenged
    Royally Challenged

    Everyone is in the comments like, "He didn't say anything cuz dream cheated." I think it's hilarious that they all say it the same way, too. "He didn't say he cheated bc he didn't want the dream stans hating on him." LMFAO I'm dying over her

  • gay jail
    gay jail

    He cheated. (I'm 100% sure about that.) Legitimately everyone NOT close to him says he cheated. Also i'm pretty sure he didn't use the proper minecraft resource? (Or something like that, I watched that one math dudes video.)


    i am soo dump i did not understand anything in this video

  • Dondlo

    Hey Game Theory, Matpat here. Did Dream fake his speedrun?

  • CaptainCustard

    my teacher told me flipping a coin is actually 51/49 not much of a difference but its something

    • Dead Vader
      Dead Vader

      Kinda as if it's more likely that it comes from the side it was flipping which is usually heads

  • tutacat

    "its not a simple apple to oranges comparison"

  • Iskra Tatomir
    Iskra Tatomir

    10 times bc its 7 with is 10 less for the 100 times

  • Rick I Sanchez
    Rick I Sanchez

    100 Times 60 had because 10 times 7had it's almost the same the only Thing is missing is a 0. that makes 10 Times 7 had almost the same as 100times 70 had PS I didn't had al Ferry good school 😅

  • o.o

    I come back to this channel after a couple years of not watching it, and I waste 23 minutes and 29 seconds of my life just to be told about a sponsor from skillshare

  • GreekSoldier20

    yeah is hard speedrun kill ender dragon idk dream are cheating or not

  • fnaf the girl Victoria Victoria fnaf
    fnaf the girl Victoria Victoria fnaf

    Hi :)

  • Xander Castaneda
    Xander Castaneda

    Why didn't you give us the truth matpat?

  • LaserM

    I admit, the learning experience is evn to watch this, becouse I am not from America, UK, bla bla bla, you get the point.

  • blessed_boio

    So basically, at the end hes trying to hide the facts and data to explain speedrunning..... this isn't even an analysis its just a grab for views.

  • Yisus HC
    Yisus HC

    Pretty sure ibxtoycat beat minecraft in under 5 Min but it was on bedrock so idk if it counts


      They played on a set seed, which is a different category to the main one

    • morbideddie

      Bedrock and set seed so not really comparable to a Java RSG run.

  • Elio Formicone
    Elio Formicone

    The Video Title: did dream cheat!? Matpat: i think ill answer 10500 questions except the one question

  • ItsWilliam

    everyone: so did he cheat? matpat: yesn't

  • Ethan Wright
    Ethan Wright

    everyone like this video so it goes on the youtube trending tab.

  • Marvin Xian Soroy-soroy
    Marvin Xian Soroy-soroy

    dream made an face reveal???

  • Nathan Zamora
    Nathan Zamora

    Flipping a coin 100 times


    0:12 Mr.beast: so today were wiping out 5 Stores full of stuff to donate!

  • *.Shooting Star.*
    *.Shooting Star.*

    Yeah thats why i started watching game theory cause i suck at math XDDD And i am not smart enough to look into tiny details

  • reidsho

    "My brain hurts.."

  • jada cormier
    jada cormier

    i think what hes trying to say is that its pretty much impossible to reach a conclusion without definitive proof that he cheated (like seeing the mods in his mod folder or whatever) because pretty much the main point of minecraft is that its randomized and most things like random bartering are based on luck

  • JsASlayer Epic gamer
    JsASlayer Epic gamer

    Mat is the most not boomer I’ve seen

  • Nathaniel Bull
    Nathaniel Bull

    matpat did not make a conclusion but by the end the it looked like the proof was saying dream did not cheat

  • Poginthechat

    Me: DO YOU THINK HE CHEATED OR NOT Matpat: Calm down i will show you the binomial physics

  • Iktear Ahmed
    Iktear Ahmed

    We : so did he fake it or not? Matpat : e=mc2

  • Xpepper 1562
    Xpepper 1562

    Flipping a coin 10 times and getting heads 7 times is mor lucky

    • Mongo Magus
      Mongo Magus

      and what does this proof?

  • flora plays 1
    flora plays 1

    0:12 mrbeast

  • Clark Enrico R. Sabater
    Clark Enrico R. Sabater

    I may not call it that is a theory Its gonna be real

  • iwan hendrawan
    iwan hendrawan

    10 times

  • Emanuel Leija
    Emanuel Leija

    WARNING! Keep reading! Or you're going to die, even if you just look at the word warning! Once upon a time there was a girl named Clarissa, she was ten years old and lived in a mental hospital, because she killed her mother and father. She got so bad that she went to kill all the hospital staff, so the Mais government decided that the best idea was to get rid of her, so they created a special room to kill her, as human as possible, but the machine went wrong they were were using it wrong. And she sat there in agony for hours until she died. Now, every week, on the day of her death, she returns to a person who reads this letter, Monday night at midnight. She sneaks into your room and kills you slowly, cutting you off and watching you bleed to death. Now send this to another ten photos on this site, and it will haunt someone who doesn't. This is not false. apparently, if you copy and paste that into ten comments in the next ten minutes, you’ll have the best day of your life tomorrow. You will be kissed or asked to leave, if you break that chain, you will see a little dead

  • Chron Red
    Chron Red

    i think that everyone is missing the point that MatPat is trying to tell us that there are simply too many variables to get a concrete answer, meaning it is literally impossible to tell whether he truly cheated or not

    • Chron Red
      Chron Red

      @Well Played mhm. so if 50 million people signed in for a lottery and i won it, the chance being 1 in 50 million, not even 0.0001%, then that means it is likely that i have cheated

    • Well Played
      Well Played

      @Chron Red here's the proper analysis done by Karl Jobst

    • Well Played
      Well Played

      @Chron Red bruh did you even read my comment? Yes, there is an insanely tiny probability for Dream to not cheat but the probability of him cheating is just so much higher that him cheating would be the more logical conclusion. Also MatPats title did state it was the "final analysis" but of course instead of giving the final verdict, he started talking about speedrun tournaments.

    • Chron Red
      Chron Red

      @Well Played suuure.... as if luck can be calculated and decided whether or not something can happen at all based on luck alone. no matter how small a probability is that probability is still there you know :T not to include that Dream isn't trying to get any world record right now, he's just having fun with his friends

    • Well Played
      Well Played

      Nope while we can't be 100% sure the most logical conclusion is that he cheated check Karl Jobsts video on it.


    Obviously dream faked it, not like people play Minecraft anyway and want to hear his friends annoying screeching

    • ThatPandaWithAGauntlet

      What sucks is that we probably never will get the true answer...

    • ThatPandaWithAGauntlet

      @TINOPLAZ ah yes, me pointing out bias sparks all of this. you cant call me a fanboi because i dont just wanna take one side and leave it. @Fat Pikachu, i feel like no one can definitely say he cheated or not. You can say he did and believe that, but you act as if we got a proven answer.


      @ThatPandaWithAGauntlet what a fanboi

    • Fat Pikachu
      Fat Pikachu

      @ThatPandaWithAGauntlet There is an answer He cheated. Again we don’t need to catch him in 4K to prove he cheated You simply don’t seem to understand how low those odds really are, it’s cheating

    • ThatPandaWithAGauntlet

      I will say that there is more evidence towards him cheating, but for all we know he may not have. I wish there was a definitive answer to this, but there is not.

  • Chispita

    your mom faked speedruns

    • Mongo Magus
      Mongo Magus

      Toxic Dream Stan

  • Jake Woke
    Jake Woke

    insted of :) its :(

  • bobrbw1202

    Flipping a coin 100 times and getting heads 60 times (Editors note: oh... uh, well I meant the other one)

  • ramon matias
    ramon matias

    Flip a coin ten times and getting heads 7 times is more likely

  • elise maendel
    elise maendel

    Dream Tream screaning when Dream beat the record makes me so happy

  • Tiger And Friends
    Tiger And Friends

    Waiting from dream to comment saying he didnt...

  • Vaidas B
    Vaidas B


  • Tony bruh
    Tony bruh

    Had to dislike this. You all know why. I'm not a dream stan, I've followed matpat for years, this is my first time I've ever disliked a video of his but I find it pretty unacceptable that he doesn't give a concrete conclusion just to avoid the onslaught of dream stans.

  • fresh dragonisfree
    fresh dragonisfree


  • ZeroKun265

    Honestly I love how you and stand-up maths just explain math.. amazing Just like Veritasium and Steve Mould explain Science I love ISdowns

  • Rebeka Dobosi
    Rebeka Dobosi

    Me to my math teacher after I watched all the minecraft game theory videos: I am four paralell universes ahead of you.

  • The 0racle
    The 0racle

    I'm not a statistician, but something is off here.... does the prosecutor's fallacy not apply to this situation somehow?

  • eddie corderi
    eddie corderi

    7 out of 10

  • Aizistral

    "Is it even worthwhile to invest those hundreds or thousands of hours, when the most important factor of your success is something that's completely out of your control?" - Real life in a nutshell.


    Old ed crouse 20:50


    Ed crouse 20:09


    Ed Crouse 13:09


    Ed crouse 11:25


    Ed crouse 9:37


    Ed crouse0:08

  • Hoang Triet
    Hoang Triet

    9:11 Actually, some people landed on the side of the coin, not heads, nor tails, so it isn’t 50/50 :/

  • Kulchus

    Love the intros haha

  • a very unenthusiastic lemon
    a very unenthusiastic lemon

    The funny thing is it actually did get on the ISdowns trending tab. It got #1 in gaming.

  • Omega Leon
    Omega Leon


  • XxLilly-BillyxX

    2:33 I just love how he pops out of the literal TARDIS.

  • Toyin kabi
    Toyin kabi


  • Mattia Giambirtone
    Mattia Giambirtone

    Ahh, LaTeX. the good stuff